Polymarket Trader

whysoseriousman

0x95dd888a85d752b8dc87c0c295e957138b1b90ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.87
Realized PnL: $1.1K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Grizzlies position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Cincinnati position

Cincinnati vs. Utah

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$235.99

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$20

Tennessee position

Oklahoma vs. Tennessee

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$120

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Thunder

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $920
Potential profit: $920
User PnL: -$86.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889.36
Potential profit: $889.36
User PnL: -$50

Hawaii position

Hawaii vs. San Jose State

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.16
Potential profit: $768.16
User PnL: -$188.47

Denver Pioneers position

Denver Pioneers vs. Washington Huskies

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $397.92
Potential profit: $397.92
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Solana reach $210 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $172.5
Potential payout: $363.16
Potential profit: $190.66
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $103.5

Kings position

Kings vs. Bulls

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.5
Potential profit: $337.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Magic

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $244.18
Potential profit: $243.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.63

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.8
Potential profit: $236.8
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.61
Potential profit: $235.61
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.83
Potential profit: $215.83
User PnL: -$30

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.39
Potential profit: $202.39
User PnL: -$46.55

Yes position

Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.7
Potential profit: $145.7
User PnL: -$5

Bucks position

Celtics vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.42
Potential profit: $128.42
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $334.53

Pacers position

Warriors vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.01

Bucks position

Warriors vs. Bucks

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.7

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.38

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.8

Trail Blazers position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Nuggets position

Warriors vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?

No 10% 100 shares
Warriors vs. Thunder

Warriors 14% 100 shares
Wizards vs. Magic

Wizards 4% 250 shares
Mavericks vs. Hornets

Mavericks 14% 71.43 shares
Celtics vs. Bucks

Bucks 3.9% 128.42 shares
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Yes 17.3% 397.92 shares
Kings vs. Lakers

Kings 14% 71.43 shares
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Yes 19% 363.16 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 14.3% 70.14 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers 76% 60 shares
Nets vs. Celtics

Nets 7.8% 128.21 shares