FTheWR

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $284.09
Potential payout: $284.24
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $257.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.86
Potential profit: $154.86
User PnL: -$29

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.14
Potential profit: $122.14
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.85
Potential profit: $80.85
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.99
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.86
Potential profit: $35.86
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.84
Potential profit: $33.84
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $32.81
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.78
Potential profit: $32.78
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.57
Potential payout: $26.58
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.73
Potential profit: $13.73
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.41
Potential profit: $13.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.57
Potential profit: $12.57
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $11.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $11.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $10.85
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $14.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?