Polymarket Trader

mihailk

0x95e5c3f328b1cc775e9984780890f2b785cc19a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $268.42
Realized PnL: $2.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$381.6

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $88.55
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $681.45
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$204.05

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $42.55
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $327.45
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $229.77
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$25.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $113.89
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$49.55

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $86.02
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$43.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.5

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.91

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.5

No position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $83.2

Yes position

XRP all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.75

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.89

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.25

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.99

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.06

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.63

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 14% 178 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 17% 5 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 27% 185 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

No 97.1% 15 shares
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

No 98.2% 155 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

No 98.6% 159 shares
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

No 64% 155 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 96.2% 149.99 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 75% 200 shares
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

No 93% 519.98 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 49% 100 shares