Polymarket Trader

55391

0x95e8bb0ef831465451ff73e97b3cf485175c6f21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.23K
Realized PnL: $2.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $494.5
Potential payout: $989
Potential profit: $494.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$9.89

Blackburn Beavers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $935
Potential profit: $935
User PnL: -$188.87

Yes position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $814
Potential profit: $814
User PnL: -$89.54

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752
Potential profit: $752
User PnL: -$376

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $693
Potential payout: $693
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $325.71

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $642
Potential profit: $642
User PnL: -$308.16

No position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415
Potential profit: $415
User PnL: -$360.22

Heat position

Bulls vs. Heat

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$36.89

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286
Potential profit: $286
User PnL: -$62.92

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$137.7

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $89.57
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$25.97

Yes position

Will Nina Hoss win Best Supporting Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $79
User PnL: -$37.13

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$19.71

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.3%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $20.05
Multiplier: 7.00x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.95
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.1

No position

Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.11

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.29

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.6

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.1

Yes position

Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.91

Yes position

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.57

No position

French election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $77.24

No position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.48

Yes position

Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $74.9

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $62.72

No position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.18

Yes position

Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.24

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.45

Yes position

Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.1

No position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $45.45

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $41.4

No position

Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.16

Yes position

Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.6

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 74% 713 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 73% 675 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 74% 1,388 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 76% 287 shares
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?

No 70% 513 shares
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

No 61% 562 shares
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

No 87% 562 shares
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 693 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 78% 287 shares
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?

No 74% 513 shares
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

No 92% 556 shares
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

No 92% 272 shares