Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $532.2
- Potential profit
- $531.14
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Polymarket Trader
0x95e8...81ef
0x95e8e0edb44b3595c63643b49944b23a146281ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $105.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.17
- Potential profit
- $217.17
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.01
- Potential profit
- $125.01
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 52.7%
- Current value
- $30.97
- Potential payout
- $58.78
- Potential profit
- $27.8
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $29.97
Yes position
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $9.13
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $8.84
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $7.43
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $7.02
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $3.69
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elsa Pinto win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 1.7% 58.78 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 89% 1.08 shares
- Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 0.3% 80.23 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 94.7% 0.19 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 92.3% 1.03 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 88% 0.09 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 88% 0.02 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 88% 0.04 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 94% 0.01 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 94% 0.01 shares