No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $350.39
- Potential payout
- $387.17
- Potential profit
- $36.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.18
Polymarket Trader
Aurorage
0x95fc0129a1870454501fd05506a41943404856e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $659.99
- Realized PnL
- -$16.52
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $309.6
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $50.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.84
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No 83% 387.17 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 89% 330 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 89% 30 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.6% 36 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 81% 314 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 93.6% 84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 93.6% 392.99 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.3% 357 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 93.7% 494.99 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 93.9% 476.99 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 92.7% 462 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 94.7% 476.99 shares