pajajirik

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.39
Potential profit: $66.39
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $12.37
Potential payout: $17.07
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $12.47
Potential profit: $11.35
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$3.88

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $11.27
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $4.61
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $9.91
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23
Potential profit: $9.23
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $8.34
User PnL: -$1.08

Norway position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET