Polymarket Trader

A324252

0x960b975c28e34241644d283df9b13b35c1f64a03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.46K
Realized PnL: $15.75K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.19K
Potential profit: $49.19K
User PnL: -$42.1K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $26.79K
Potential profit: $22.9K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$669.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $22K
User PnL: -$10.38K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $573.42
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $8.53K
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$409.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.07
Potential profit: $472.07
User PnL: -$282.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$80.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$150.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$474.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 10.8% 9,101.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 90% 3,121.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 91% 125.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

No 83.4% 1,364.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 89.2% 1,478.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 91.3% 2,789.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 94.2% 336.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 95% 1,045 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

No 81.1% 3,799.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 88.7% 3,472.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

No 79.4% 446.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 96.1% 603.83 shares