Polymarket Trader

px1

0x96120a6749ffd7e1c7619a67fa0389e16023205a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.36K
Realized PnL: $10.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $212.11K
Potential profit: $210.31K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$201.51

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $68.18
Potential payout: $45.45K
Potential profit: $45.39K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$431.77

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $23.17K
Potential profit: $23.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$57.89

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $13K
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $64.6
Potential payout: $12.92K
Potential profit: $12.86K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $25.84

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $9.72K
User PnL: -$110.42

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $304.45
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $91.82

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $100.67
Potential payout: $6.49K
Potential profit: $6.39K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $29.23

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$400

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.32
Potential profit: $994.32
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $954.55
Potential profit: $954.55
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.88
Potential profit: $937.88
User PnL: -$300.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $799.98
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $524.16
Potential profit: $516.3
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$7.14

No position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.36
Potential profit: $389.36
User PnL: -$250

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.55
Potential profit: $250.55
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $231.22
Potential profit: $230.64
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$99.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $952.93

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.62

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.83

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $484.8

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.56

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.88

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.56

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.5

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.32

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121

No position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.83

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.45

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 1,648.35 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 1,648.35 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 19% 2,105.26 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 83% 34.22 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 8,500 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 8,500 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 99.6% 391.42 shares
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 99.5% 154.76 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 94,411.65 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 23,166.67 shares
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 64.6% 154.77 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 30,000 shares