Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
Otto854
0x961f329fe5c3f5893d28921f11c4939cf1edfb9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $123.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $29.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 280 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 76% 270 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.3% 548 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.3% 548 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 295 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 404 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 412 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.8% 250 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.8% 384 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 89 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 474 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 497 shares