Polymarket Trader

0x961F81e7e60121D81F381925930962c66eCc135C-1768042689470

0x961f81e7e60121d81f381925930962c66ecc135c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.39
Realized PnL: -$57.37
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $98.76
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$135.94

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $145.78
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$4.22

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.94

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

Under position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.81

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.43

No position

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.48

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$68.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 29.85 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 4.9% 178.24 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 1,341.89 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.1% 76.34 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 22.9% 87.34 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5

Under 99.5% 46.44 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 22% 90.91 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 7% 30.3 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 18.9% 59.11 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 68% 45.45 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 15.8% 59.11 shares