Polymarket Trader

0x962137bd1eD06f41fC623Bd7AD1C945c5f214aE1-1768710297889

0x962137bd1ed06f41fc623bd7ad1c945c5f214ae1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.94
Realized PnL: $7.58
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03
Potential profit: $5.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

State of the Union Bingo - Card 2

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.96

Lopes position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: -$0.98

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Bruins

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Senators

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will "Die" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

State of the Union Bingo - Card 3

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Flames

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

State of the Union Bingo - Card 1

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Maple Leafs position

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Under position

Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
State of the Union Bingo - Card 2

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
State of the Union Bingo - Card 3

No 49% 2.04 shares
State of the Union Bingo - Card 1

No 67% 1.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Down 49% 2.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Down 97% 1.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Down 76% 1.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Down 66% 1.5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares