Polymarket Trader

baseline

0x962c3a66dd4ce862da1d3b5f83e8620652fef969

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $90.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93K
Potential profit: $25.93K
User PnL: -$10.75K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$420

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$2.63K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.16
Potential profit: $561.16
User PnL: -$19.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Braves position

Will the Braves or Dodgers win their NLCS matchup?

Ends Oct 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79K

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?

Ends Mar 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8K

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Ends Feb 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69K

No position

Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43K

No position

Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?

Ends Oct 21, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57K

Kamala position

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Diaz position

Will Nick Diaz or Robbie Lawler win their UFC fight on September 25th?

Ends Sep 25, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 55297.38x
User PnL: $3.89K

No position

Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match?

Ends Feb 21, 2021

Implied probability: 10.3%
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: $3.46K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather?

Ends Jun 6, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

No position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Bucks position

Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series?

Ends Jun 19, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Nets position

Will the Nets or the Suns win their February 16th matchup?

Ends Feb 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?

Ends Jan 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 7351303.44x
User PnL: $1.09K

Washington position

Will Washington beat Michigan?

Ends Oct 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Braves position

Who will win the MLB 2021 World Series?

Ends Nov 7, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4226971.22x
User PnL: $982.17

Raptors position

Will the Raptors or the Bucks win their February 16th matchup?

Ends Feb 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 39.4% 2,860.4 shares
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Yes 16.1% 7,000 shares
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4

Royals 42% 440 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 49% 2,500 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

No 66% 5.01 shares
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Yes 23% 97.28 shares
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?

Yes 1.3% 464 shares
Who will win the debate according to polls?

Kamala 75% 1,882.31 shares
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?

No 56% 549.12 shares
Who will win the debate according to polls?

Kamala 74.9% 8,193.39 shares
Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Yes 0.3% 8,000 shares