Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $607.1K
- Potential profit
- $607.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Polymarket Trader
0x9642bD30D320CaD7878F642566f9F5B91Fc9d2aB-1746989497209
0x9642bd30d320cad7878f642566f9f5b91fc9d2ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $16.5K
- Win rate
- 95%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.28K
- Potential profit
- $250.28K
- User PnL
- -$1.92K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.15K
- Potential profit
- $107.15K
- User PnL
- -$4.13K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99K
- Potential profit
- $59.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28K
- Potential profit
- $51.28K
- User PnL
- -$99.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.73K
- Potential profit
- $32.73K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.74K
- Potential profit
- $25.74K
- User PnL
- -$519.98
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.15K
- Potential profit
- $25.15K
- User PnL
- -$186.99
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.22K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.83K
- Potential profit
- $21.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.71K
- Potential profit
- $20.71K
- User PnL
- -$299.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.04K
- Potential profit
- $19.04K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.62K
- Potential profit
- $16.62K
- User PnL
- -$499.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.07K
- Potential profit
- $16.07K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.8K
- User PnL
- -$299.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.74K
- Potential profit
- $14.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.53K
- Potential profit
- $14.53K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.84K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.32K
- Potential profit
- $13.32K
- User PnL
- -$289.98
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.01K
- Potential profit
- $12.01K
- User PnL
- -$689.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.19K
- Potential profit
- $11.19K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.44
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.87
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.47
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.61
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.11
Yes position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.39
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.7
No position
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.96
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.97
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 27.8% 129.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?Yes 1.1% 938.46 shares
- Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.5% 87.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 3.7% 5,193.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 12.7% 1,523.66 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Yes 6.6% 456.53 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?Yes 2.7% 4,662.66 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 2.6% 1,834.87 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 7% 1,375.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 2.4% 1,042.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 0.5% 2,097.53 shares