No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $633.4K
- Potential payout
- $636.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- $80.56K
Polymarket Trader
anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.83M
- Realized PnL
- $3.05M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $609.83K
- Potential payout
- $615.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- User PnL
- $47.54K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $581K
- Potential payout
- $603.63K
- Potential profit
- $22.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.4K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.25K
- Potential profit
- $466.25K
- User PnL
- -$31.66K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $443.89K
- Potential payout
- $463.11K
- Potential profit
- $19.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $145.22K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $423.69K
- Potential profit
- $423.69K
- User PnL
- -$129.9K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $353.73K
- Potential payout
- $390.86K
- Potential profit
- $37.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $77.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $558.94
- Potential payout
- $372.63K
- Potential profit
- $372.07K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$246.64K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.96K
- Potential profit
- $348.96K
- User PnL
- -$61.17K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.54K
- Potential profit
- $314.54K
- User PnL
- -$39.16K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.02K
- Potential profit
- $314.02K
- User PnL
- -$62.84K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.19K
- Potential profit
- $275.19K
- User PnL
- -$94.91K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.75K
- Potential profit
- $238.75K
- User PnL
- -$67.14K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $16.57K
- Potential payout
- $221K
- Potential profit
- $204.42K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.64K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.48K
- Potential profit
- $201.48K
- User PnL
- -$95.48K
No position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.19K
- Potential profit
- $187.19K
- User PnL
- -$64.01K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $162.61K
- Potential payout
- $185.84K
- Potential profit
- $23.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.78K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.27K
- Potential profit
- $182.27K
- User PnL
- -$118.35K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.81K
- Potential profit
- $172.81K
- User PnL
- -$67.86K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.65K
- Potential profit
- $165.65K
- User PnL
- -$18.53K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.23K
- Potential profit
- $164.23K
- User PnL
- -$19.57K
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.91K
- Potential profit
- $161.91K
- User PnL
- -$11.9K
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.56K
- Potential profit
- $158.56K
- User PnL
- -$6.45K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $31.98K
- Potential payout
- $155.98K
- Potential profit
- $124K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$9.05K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.58K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.44K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.04K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.67K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.78K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $144.06K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $143.55K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.63K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.98K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.76K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.04K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.17K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.55K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.93K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.63K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.01K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.58K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.14K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.95K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.41K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.15K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.87K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.96K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.23K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.7% 591.84 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.7% 174.5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 1.9% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 65% 274.13 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 24.3% 343.01 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 79% 108.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.7% 24.43 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.8% 89.98 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 84% 32.6 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.6% 452.38 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.6% 9.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 31% 38 shares