Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $447.41
- Potential payout
- $725.14
- Potential profit
- $277.73
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$193.4
Polymarket Trader
0x9657949765F3a28600467Bad514cd8E8ED7ab56a-1757041919093
0x9657949765f3a28600467bad514cd8e8ed7ab56a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $641.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $99.02
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $48.17
- Potential payout
- $90.88
- Potential profit
- $42.71
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $9.59
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $25.3
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.38
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $42.94
- Potential profit
- $37.36
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Colts position
Colts vs. Steelers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $31.49
- Potential profit
- $25.82
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$13.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during 9-11 memorial event?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Braves position
Cubs vs. Braves
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.48
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.84
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.53
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.96
Eagles position
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.02
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.27
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.09
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "War" during 9-11 memorial event?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.96
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.84
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.67
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.01
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
N
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 15?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.2% 19.99 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 123 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by April 24?Yes 97.6% 381.19 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by April 30?Yes 98.7% 202.68 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by April 17?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.7% 589.7 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 589.71 shares
- Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 60% 31.49 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 97.6% 31.71 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 61.9% 50 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 76.9% 22 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.3% 548 shares