No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $97.15
- Potential payout
- $98.78
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
Celete
@01DdIsixGv7riXA
0x965cef85d189f6ccc11521e5f473bd4d9aac7f20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.16
- Realized PnL
- $75.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $56.05
- Potential payout
- $65.56
- Potential profit
- $9.51
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $26.13
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No 98.2% 98.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 65.56 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 98.1% 15.29 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.4% 17.32 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 17.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No 99.6% 154.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 83% 27.23 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 94.7% 23.23 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 88.1% 82.22 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes 75% 26.13 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 99.1% 21.68 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 25 shares