Polymarket Trader

BobMusk

0x966bcbb2084d18cdc25e53a9780c5348aa272d95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $532.47
Realized PnL: $589.55
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $284.34
Potential payout: $574.43
Potential profit: $290.09
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $54.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $241.78
Potential payout: $531.38
Potential profit: $289.6
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$23.91

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.83
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.42

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.59

Yes position

Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.08

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.7

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65

Under position

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Under position

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Over position

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 23% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 24% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 25% 10 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 19% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 65% 19.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 125 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 125 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 4.4% 29.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 40.1% 20 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 38 million views on day 2?

Yes 0.4% 330 shares