Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $225.03
- Potential payout
- $238.12
- Potential profit
- $13.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.03
Polymarket Trader
tont.like.font
0x967a4186b41bdedac9b45c39c040fded8f6b98b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $576.12
- Realized PnL
- $55
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $102.33
- Potential payout
- $116.95
- Potential profit
- $14.62
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $54.52
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $50.89
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $57.44
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $49.34
- Potential payout
- $52.21
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.34
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $36.36
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $21.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.08
- Potential profit
- $45.08
- User PnL
- -$41.18
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.46
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Becca Good charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 84% 59.52 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 91% 39.76 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 94% 5.32 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 13% 38.46 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 67% 52.21 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 33% 45.45 shares
- Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes 87.4% 5.72 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes 59% 8.47 shares