China PR position
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
Polymarket Trader
Murchds
0x96a1e7c6ff7fcccc6431df2ba31d68155d2dc2d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $57.64
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $30.18
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
China PR position
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $30.18
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 1,006 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 506 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes 6% 948.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes 6% 951 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 93.2% 481 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 93.7% 475 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 90.2% 240 shares
- Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?No 94.6% 230 shares
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No 93% 460 shares
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 90% 390 shares
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR 92% 460 shares