Polymarket Trader

avemvp

0x96a4d5eaeefaf6c47b4e182326dec0228b91ed03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.8K
Realized PnL: $1.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.16K
Potential profit: $7.16K
User PnL: -$14.31

Yes position

Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$22.74

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $842.17
Potential payout: $886.96
Potential profit: $44.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $36.25

No position

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.14
Potential profit: $531.14
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $397.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $102.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $32.6

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$445

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $209.45
Potential payout: $270.26
Potential profit: $60.81
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $31.08

Yes position

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $184
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $128.37
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $121.9
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $89.35
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $17.66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $87.93
Potential payout: $101.65
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.12
Potential profit: $56.12
User PnL: -$43.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.12

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $313.4

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $233.78

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.31

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.47

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $58.27

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.32

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.92

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.24

Yes position

Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.8

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.09

Yes position

Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.89

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.69

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.34

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.03

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.89

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 79% 70 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

No 99.9% 99 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 33% 544.94 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 126.4 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 33% 486 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 33% 891.8 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 33.7% 2,000 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 35% 4,113.01 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 31% 139.88 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 29% 76.23 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 100 shares