No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $75K
- Potential payout
- $90.9K
- Potential profit
- $15.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$3K
Polymarket Trader
ExhaustedBoyBilly
0x96b59f71f635da5da031e3e93448c54fe226f5e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $164.89K
- Realized PnL
- $1.53M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $89.86K
- Potential payout
- $90K
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Kraken have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $699.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $699.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Lambda have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $493.25
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win between 75% and 80% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $484.27
- Potential profit
- $481.61
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win between 85% and 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $448.07
- Potential profit
- $447.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $316.06
- Potential profit
- $315.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $308.91
- Potential profit
- $304.43
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $262.86
- Potential profit
- $262.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 10%?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $201.19
- Potential profit
- $199.08
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.1
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.08K
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.82K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.35K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.23K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.53K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.8K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.16K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.68K
Yes position
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.46K
Yes position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.94K
Trump position
Who will win white women?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.88K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.47K
Yes position
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.68K
Yes position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.72K
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6K
No position
Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12K
Yes position
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.37K
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2K
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.02K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.69K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.77K
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.34K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Décio Lima win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes 0.1% 101.32 shares
- Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 5,808.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 98.1% 68,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Dog" in May?Yes 99.9% 321.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 30,500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 30,400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 98.8% 35,753.39 shares
- Will Trump dance today?Yes 99.9% 34,999.98 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No 99.1% 225.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 99.8% 18,200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 99.1% 47,141.24 shares