Polymarket Trader

galleto

0x96bd7248b6e2d396891491ff8ad7cae0c7f9978b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.1
Realized PnL: -$32.61
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $13.67
Potential payout: $94.28
Potential profit: $80.61
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.91
Potential profit: $68.91
User PnL: -$23.43

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $63.33
Potential profit: $57.32
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.98

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $48.9
Potential profit: $42.79
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?

No 10% 48.9 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?

No 10% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?

No 10.6% 94.28 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 34% 68.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 4.7% 626.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 1% 857.44 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 77.5% 25.82 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 31.6% 63.33 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

No 87% 22.99 shares
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 83% 11.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 95% 10.45 shares