0x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-1782223511037

Implied probability: 46.6%
Current value: $311.19
Potential payout: $667.78
Potential profit: $356.59
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $173.39
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $364.24
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $367.73
Potential payout: $420.03
Potential profit: $52.29
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.71

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $272.78
Potential payout: $326.68
Potential profit: $53.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $213.08
Potential payout: $308.86
Potential profit: $95.78
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $173.02
Potential payout: $235.4
Potential profit: $62.38
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $192.93
Potential payout: $210.85
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $205.37
Potential profit: $187.91
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $79.59
Potential payout: $110.62
Potential profit: $31.03
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $84.32
Potential payout: $107.41
Potential profit: $23.09
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $22.59
Potential payout: $100.38
Potential profit: $77.8
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant Tournament

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $66.21
Potential payout: $98.09
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$4.87

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $32.11
Potential payout: $90.44
Potential profit: $58.33
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $36.81
Potential payout: $87.32
Potential profit: $50.52
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $78.03
Potential profit: $31.6
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.51
Potential profit: $76.51
User PnL: -$22.84

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $22.42
Potential payout: $65.01
Potential profit: $42.59
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Implied probability: 83.1%
Current value: $50.05
Potential payout: $60.27
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69.3%
Current value: $33.43
Potential payout: $48.24
Potential profit: $14.82
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $36.38
Potential profit: $26.38
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 60.1%
Current value: $21.49
Potential payout: $35.79
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $13.11
Potential payout: $34.95
Potential profit: $21.84
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $652.93

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $582.38

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $371.19

Yes position

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 28.1%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $213.31

ARETE position

Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.28

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $178.55

No position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $118.71

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $92.45

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 21.1%
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $61.73

No position

Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $45.58

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: $43.46

Yes position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $30.37

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: $27.64

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $27.61

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 26.8%
Multiplier: 3.74x
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.2%
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $19.85

Yes position

Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $10.96

Yes position

Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?