No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.31K
- Potential profit
- $25.31K
- User PnL
- -$9.64K
Polymarket Trader
just.some.guy
0x96c6740f9b58c5a38c9172147cd6266da06c34a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $754.89
- Realized PnL
- $500.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $685.39
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $607.8
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $15.63
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $983.5
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $983.5
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $979.5
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.88K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.31K
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.04K
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.89K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.66K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.19K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16K
No position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19K
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54K
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97K
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47K
No position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 52% 709.27 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 52% 516.55 shares
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes 88.7% 120 shares
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes 88.8% 185 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 47% 2,500 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 57% 1,084.1 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 17% 24,296.01 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 25% 985.88 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 43% 6,151.92 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.4% 8,602.74 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 80% 7,393 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 41% 125.99 shares