No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- User PnL
- -$55.48
Polymarket Trader
0x96c802699A489a5a0BC33996B7CF710AB3A15676-1768585724164
0x96c802699a489a5a0bc33996b7cf710ab3a15676
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Tatsuro Taira position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$151.57
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $290?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$265.08
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414
- Potential profit
- $414
- User PnL
- -$208.84
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $69.99
- User PnL
- -$28.7
No position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $351.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.4
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.28
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.87
Spain position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.2
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$113.4
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$502.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 58% 200 shares
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 99.8% 125 shares
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 66.5% 125 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?18.7% 85.8 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 6% 260 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 43% 260 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 14% 810 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 66% 314 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 903.27 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 1,280 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 45% 111.07 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 56.5% 21.64 shares