Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $155.99
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- -$50.57
Polymarket Trader
combrogi
0x96d15e7b575c0455140491edef3eef30a1e42ebc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $850.42
- Realized PnL
- -$348.33
- Win rate
- 10.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $416.65
- Potential payout
- $416.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $391.65
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $277.78
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $252.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.02
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Yes position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.03
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.81
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.82
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.08
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.79
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.04
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.23
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$186.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 58.89 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 1% 291.66 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,086.95 shares
- Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 212.14 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 1,125.11 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 16.8% 593.69 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 277.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 6% 416.65 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 1,086.96 shares
- Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.7% 212.14 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 24% 262.32 shares