No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $18.75K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Polymarket Trader
SheldonLuis
0x96df0037c377b23cb5474594c6a86d9971681f97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.66K
- Realized PnL
- $9.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $115.61
- Potential profit
- $85.72
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$70.12
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $107.53
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.39
- Potential profit
- $111.39
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $97.22
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
No position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $84.68
- Potential payout
- $109.76
- Potential profit
- $25.08
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$15.32
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $103.56
- Potential payout
- $109.41
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $108.11
- Potential payout
- $109.04
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $98.75
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $74.27
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $14.27
Yes position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $37.96
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $28.98
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $24.94
- Potential payout
- $25.31
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72K
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.73
Yes position
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.18
Yes position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.8
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.92
Yes position
Will Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.5
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.4
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.79
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Suns
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.05
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Kings
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.69
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes 50.8% 393.8 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 93.7% 106.74 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 91.4% 109.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 86.5% 115.61 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?No 96% 104.17 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 91.7% 109.04 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo 89.8% 111.39 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 92% 108.7 shares