No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33K
- Potential profit
- $333.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Polymarket Trader
IP1380
0x96e8e42db87aae72bf635ef6db7c3f1adb2dd240
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.82K
- Realized PnL
- $4.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.41K
- Potential profit
- $38.41K
- User PnL
- -$779.97
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.25K
- Potential profit
- $27.25K
- User PnL
- -$27.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.5K
- Potential profit
- $20.5K
- User PnL
- -$20.99
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $46.41
- Potential payout
- $18.57K
- Potential profit
- $18.52K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $46.2
- Potential payout
- $13.2K
- Potential profit
- $13.15K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $35.21
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.01K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $515.77
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 5.82x
- User PnL
- -$456.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$58.74
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$142.5
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $48.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $339.67
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $784.33
- Potential payout
- $820
- Potential profit
- $35.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $47.25
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $379.96
- Potential payout
- $399.75
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $109.31
Yes position
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $120.78
- Potential payout
- $389.6
- Potential profit
- $268.82
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $31.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $168.6
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $143.28
- Potential payout
- $161.9
- Potential profit
- $18.62
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $13.73
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $82.42
- Potential payout
- $158.49
- Potential profit
- $76.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $7.59
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $102.41
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $48.5
- Potential profit
- $45.54
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.55
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.34
Yes position
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $234.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.16
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $180.81
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $178.58
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $175.38
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.17
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.51
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.02
Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $137.41
Yes position
Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.05
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $126.09
No position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.99
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.87
Yes position
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.73
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $78.69
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.46
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.99
No position
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.6
No position
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.5% 23.41 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 2.1% 14.65 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 2.2% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.6% 111.98 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 2.5% 23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.6% 55 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 2.5% 54.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96.7% 208 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 5.7% 45.83 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 5.8% 27.7 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 5.8% 45.83 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 5.8% 15 shares