Polymarket Trader

0x96eE9C7CD4E6f7301Ccfa1fd05fBfe35F6C10662-1772438442013

0x96ee9c7cd4e6f7301ccfa1fd05fbfe35f6c10662

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.91
Realized PnL: $261.45
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gen.G Global Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.4
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$9.72

No position

Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Ends Oct 24, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $11.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.4
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.4
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.94
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$14.94

No position

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Brent Hennrich earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $36.99
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will Adam Novotný win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.99
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will DRX Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.69
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Keyd Stars Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.15
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will Ghools Esports Win the Challengers 2026: EMEA Last Chance Qualifier?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $14.89
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,400 koz?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?

Yes 32% 1.49 shares
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 34m?

Yes 8.6% 40 shares
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?

Yes 25% 7.7 shares
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Yes 44% 4.8 shares
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will "Punish" or "Punishing" be said 5+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

No 7% 40 shares
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

No 19% 15 shares
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 30% 40 shares
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 4.9% 40 shares
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?

Yes 38% 40 shares
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Credible FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Yes 13% 20 shares