No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $51K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $253.5K
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$83.74K
Polymarket Trader
Nargili
0x96f452cb979b24e4ad4af05338b7a34a60d7edc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51K
- Realized PnL
- $38.83K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68K
- Potential profit
- $68K
- User PnL
- -$204
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.32
No position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.05
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $220.95
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.43
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.05
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
B8 position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.06
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38
B8 position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 8,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 20,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 20,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 20,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 28% 8,861.29 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 31.8% 300.66 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 66.5% 199.06 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 62% 285 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 62% 237 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 48% 2.22 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 34.9% 2,210.99 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 33% 644.28 shares