Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.14K
- Potential profit
- $72.14K
- User PnL
- -$873.94
Polymarket Trader
PoppingChairman
@mr_de2022
0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.15K
- Realized PnL
- $49.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.21K
- Potential profit
- $60.21K
- User PnL
- -$52.22K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $28.06K
- Potential payout
- $30.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $61.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$949.37
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $889.41
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $115.62
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $104.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $48.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $629.76
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $536.46
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$198.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $564.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $435.1
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$185.1
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $136.88
- Potential payout
- $294.36
- Potential profit
- $157.48
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $203.84
- Potential payout
- $213.56
- Potential profit
- $9.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $54.35
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $930.5
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.52
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.72
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $551.72
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $402.65
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $393.94
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $286.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.66
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71.1% 2,803 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.8% 30,876.54 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 73.8% 3,559.48 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.1% 26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.1% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 92% 20,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 0.5% 10,000 shares