No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.62K
- Potential profit
- $135.62K
- User PnL
- -$452.84
Polymarket Trader
Captchacha
0x96f99abca598ab790430c4296fb0d9afd37209c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $656.84
- Realized PnL
- $596.55
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $276.57
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $923.28
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- -$50.89
Yes position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $980.5
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $901.36
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $617.19
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $576.38
- Potential profit
- $572.05
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $80.29
- Potential payout
- $516.36
- Potential profit
- $436.06
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $25.04
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $127.69
- Potential payout
- $459.31
- Potential profit
- $331.63
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$72.31
No position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.51
- Potential profit
- $415.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $62
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $338
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $360.96
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $12.52
- Potential payout
- $191.15
- Potential profit
- $178.63
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.69
- Potential profit
- $105.69
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.29
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.51
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.82
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125.07
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$185.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$219.05
No position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 81% 80 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.1% 30,000 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.2% 399.94 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.8% 375 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 6.7% 1,802.58 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 5.8% 3,444.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 63% 189.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 63% 320 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 45% 33.33 shares
- Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No 2.4% 415.51 shares