No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0x9701445CcFdADA7EF82Dba2d1c38358B794cFab8-1773412283965
0x9701445ccfdada7ef82dba2d1c38358b794cfab8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $366.14
- Realized PnL
- -$46.49
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $248.02
- Potential payout
- $261.21
- Potential profit
- $13.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $98.02
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $26.16
- Potential payout
- $180.41
- Potential profit
- $154.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$23.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $91.96
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $86.61
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.81
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.93
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.85
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes 3.1% 7.21 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes 3.1% 176.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 87.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 29% 344.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 43% 116.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 178.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 69% 144.93 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes 27.7% 180.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.7% 62.5 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes 16.4% 183.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 56.9% 87.81 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 31% 35.71 shares