Polymarket Trader

TheMangler

0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.47K
Realized PnL: $706.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $159.57K
Potential profit: $158.53K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$209.35

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $993.84
Potential payout: $152.9K
Potential profit: $151.9K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$200.6

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $911.16
Potential payout: $140.18K
Potential profit: $139.27K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$183.91

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $132.31K
Potential profit: $129.73K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $115.6K
Potential profit: $113.51K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $115.12K
Potential profit: $113.56K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $654.8

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $113.25K
Potential profit: $110.38K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $806.75
Potential payout: $107.57K
Potential profit: $106.76K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$35.6

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $769.6
Potential payout: $102.61K
Potential profit: $101.84K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$32.02

Yes position

Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.29K
Potential profit: $102.29K
User PnL: -$3.13K

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $98.58K
Potential profit: $94.3K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $13.99K
Potential payout: $87.71K
Potential profit: $73.72K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $13.3K

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $85.61K
Potential profit: $78.47K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $6.48K

Yes position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.19K
Potential profit: $85.19K
User PnL: -$2.83K

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $84.78K
Potential profit: $83.46K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $651.78

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.66K
Potential payout: $82.22K
Potential profit: $78.56K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.93K
Potential profit: $81.93K
User PnL: -$29.63K

Yes position

Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.55K
Potential profit: $81.55K
User PnL: -$2.43K

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $690.72
Potential payout: $81.26K
Potential profit: $80.57K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $55.91

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.07K
Potential payout: $80.65K
Potential profit: $76.57K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $735.44
Potential payout: $77.41K
Potential profit: $76.68K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $130.68

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.61K
Potential profit: $74.61K
User PnL: -$4.27K

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.49K
Potential profit: $72.49K
User PnL: -$5.2K

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $970.41
Potential payout: $71.88K
Potential profit: $70.91K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $214.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.77K

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $45.76K

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.15K

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $39.73K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38K

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.61K

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $29.52K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.69K

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.26K

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $26.23K

Yes position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $25.64K

Yes position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.92K

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.78K

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.93K

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.38K

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.24K

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.46K

Toronto Blue Jays position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.26K

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.77K

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.04K

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.42K

Yes position

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87K

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8K

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Oilers

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 0.1% 464 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 45% 2,072.42 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 1% 5,471.13 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 56% 8.86 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 41% 9,843.8 shares
Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?

No 99.7% 325 shares
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 99.9% 9,000 shares
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 99.9% 1,000 shares
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 99.9% 20,000 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 94.5% 1,321.82 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

No 44.1% 287.64 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Yes 39% 569 shares