Polymarket Trader

sph12

0x970cc9274d59855ca5ef4d9bda5f294898410131

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $73.34
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.82
Potential profit: $90.82
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.09
Potential profit: $88.09
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.98
Potential profit: $54.98
User PnL: -$38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.1%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Yes 88% 38.72 shares
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

Yes 92.4% 93.91 shares
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?

Yes 93% 94.62 shares
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Yes 95.9% 92.63 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 92% 96.7 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 94% 102.32 shares
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Yes 82.6% 38.72 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 91% 96.7 shares
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Yes 94.7% 125.71 shares
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?

Yes 69.1% 54.98 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 86% 102.33 shares
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?

Yes 99.9% 91.26 shares