Polymarket Trader

xdg

0x971f9c82ccd564d936675bc5b45fb1d10d1d6a2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.69
Realized PnL: $3.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $15.42
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $12.04
Potential payout: $12.52
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 96.1% 7.52 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 97.7% 7.06 shares
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 96% 7.66 shares
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 97.7% 11.63 shares
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 97.5% 7.51 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 97.9% 6 shares
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

No 98% 6.99 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 95.8% 10.9 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 97.2% 6.27 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 98% 7.27 shares
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?

No 97.9% 8.27 shares
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?

No 97.3% 10.19 shares