Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $20.69
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$55.36
Polymarket Trader
igwtik
0x9724e074e9ea7cc35a44922a863ef7490d29fbc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.92
- Realized PnL
- $5.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $37.23
- Potential payout
- $496.34
- Potential profit
- $459.12
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.9
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.62
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.33
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.01
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.04
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.5
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.5
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.49
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 5% 496.34 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 130.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 198.93 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 0.2% 1,301.36 shares
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?Yes 10% 43.81 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 0.4% 1,142.85 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.4% 915 shares
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?Yes 15% 95.4 shares
- Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?Yes 15% 133.33 shares
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?Yes 11% 72.73 shares
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?Yes 10% 20 shares