Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $48.08
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
tibellium
0x973c645a16cc13ce87a6be0f5f20344ba6cdcfc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $17.4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.14
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 88.3% 121.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 52% 48.08 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 74.4% 133.23 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 86% 25.41 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 9% 45.99 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 48.7% 45.99 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 78% 25.42 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 92% 65.01 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 93% 14.51 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 28% 49.73 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 32% 49.73 shares