Yes position
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $14.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.88
Polymarket Trader
Olliii801
0x9745f4c142b861a8569e3c6b739edb67bb4befe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $13.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.75
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.33
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.69
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.55
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.43
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.08
No position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.72
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.72
No position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.05
No position
Will Trump say "America / American" 20+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.45
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 16+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
No position
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 3.6% 27.5 shares
- Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 2.5% 39.76 shares
- Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 3.3% 30 shares
- Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Yes 96.9% 1,029.76 shares
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 94.1% 1,106.88 shares
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 90.1% 1,106.89 shares
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 13.2% 3,670.44 shares
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 54.5% 3,670.44 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 26.5% 1,875 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 40% 1,875 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 4,320.72 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 6,429.43 shares