Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $49.33
- Potential payout
- $241.94
- Potential profit
- $192.6
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$25.67
Polymarket Trader
leetbetter
0x974bb2e3b97edc5ea55f84806d64106d1545b29b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.96K
- Realized PnL
- $484.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $51.07
- Potential payout
- $220.59
- Potential profit
- $169.52
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$23.93
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $147.05
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.05
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $105.18
- Potential payout
- $141.95
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $115.91
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $24.08
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $22.9
No position
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $102.86
- Potential payout
- $119.6
- Potential profit
- $16.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $104.36
- Potential payout
- $115.32
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $104.08
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $10.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $100.65
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $79.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $55.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $69.84
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $27.16
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$8.73
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $78.75
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $63.86
- Potential payout
- $88.08
- Potential profit
- $24.22
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$10.13
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $73.29
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $12.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $77.39
- Potential payout
- $82.42
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $72.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $79.64
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $68.53
- Potential payout
- $76.14
- Potential profit
- $7.61
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $51.46
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $21.54
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $66.71
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $58.44
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $8.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.86
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.3
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.87
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.77
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.8% 56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 22% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 16% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 4.2% 183.9 shares
- Ethereum flipped in 2026?No 0.6% 94.76 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 99.6 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 34.5% 120 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 99.9% 55 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?No 60% 35 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 62% 55.55 shares
- Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No 85% 9.6 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 50 shares