Polymarket Trader

Aurimutinka

0x974cd6928b5f0070f3bc27ed12e414a9d9d553d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $555.28
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.78
Potential profit: $777.78
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $555.28
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $505.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.47
Potential profit: $554.47
User PnL: -$19.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.29
Potential profit: $260.29
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$59.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$4

No position

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.6
Potential profit: $199.6
User PnL: -$55.68

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.56
Potential profit: $187.56
User PnL: -$33.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.13
Potential profit: $158.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 1300 and 1349 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.33
Potential profit: $146.33
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.95
Potential profit: $128.95
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.81
Potential profit: $127.81
User PnL: -$40.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.5
Potential profit: $127.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 1250 and 1299 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.88
Potential profit: $123.88
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$13.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.55
Potential profit: $87.55
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.58
Potential profit: $86.58
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 1200 and 1249 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.91
Potential profit: $79.91
User PnL: -$8.79

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Tigers

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.07

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.19

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.61

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.09

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.76

76ers position

76ers vs. Bulls

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.08

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.31

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.38

Hornets position

Pelicans vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.51

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Heat

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.14

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.66

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Magic

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?

Down 9% 555.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 47% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 11% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 39.3% 56.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 61% 40.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 60% 8.33 shares