Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $286.53
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $16.54
Polymarket Trader
0x97781beA154e7a3D3538Aca39430164ecA778480-1774590795420
0x97781bea154e7a3d3538aca39430164eca778480
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.73K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.37K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- User PnL
- $198.6
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.9%
- Current value
- $202.43
- Potential payout
- $598.03
- Potential profit
- $395.6
- Multiplier
- 2.95x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $230.99
- Potential payout
- $281.69
- Potential profit
- $50.7
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $30.99
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $164.24
- Potential payout
- $189.87
- Potential profit
- $25.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.52
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $78.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $53.4
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.15
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.09
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$169.37
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$629.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55.7% 2,692.67 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.9% 14,897.95 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 33.4% 598.03 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 68.6% 2,917.56 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 20,408.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75.8% 7,094.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47% 3,497.8 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.1% 106 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74% 2,485.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 5,063.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79% 1,012.66 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 71% 281.69 shares