Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $477
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$177
Polymarket Trader
nikonoemi
0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $759.93
- Realized PnL
- $575.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $477
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $177
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.66
Yes position
Will Ilya Morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Alexander Command be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Y
Yes position
Will Adolfo Daniel Vallejo advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Y
Yes position
Will the match not air?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $23.84
- Potential payout
- $25.98
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
N
No position
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $19.9
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Y
Yes position
Will Jack Draper advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Sebastian Baez advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will Zach Wahls win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $15.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Y
Yes position
Will Oliver Tarvet advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Y
Yes position
Will Marin Cilic advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.58
- Potential payout
- $18.89
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $105.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.6
Y
Yes position
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $30.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.15
No position
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.85
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.82
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Hooper position
Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.66
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Y
Yes position
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.23
Yes position
Will Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.76
No position
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.65
No position
Will "Jobs" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Yes 1% 20 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes 6% 20 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No 91% 5.99 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No 2% 20 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?Yes 4% 20 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?No 19.2% 1.06 shares
- Will Luciano Darderi advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Will Dalibor Svrcina advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Will Martin Landaluce advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Will YFT Win North America ACE Stage 3Yes 1% 20 shares