Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.77K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- User PnL
- -$999.49
Polymarket Trader
dane41145
0x9779b6b803e088cbbb37424c005d21a3246a8715
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.39
- Realized PnL
- $2.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- User PnL
- -$575.38
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $346.39
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$384.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $787.16
- Potential profit
- $787.16
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $711.65
- Potential profit
- $711.65
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.57
- Potential profit
- $409.57
- User PnL
- -$198.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.45
- Potential profit
- $402.45
- User PnL
- -$99.89
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.27
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.27
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 3,314.23 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 430.85 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 14.1% 711.65 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 23% 1,304.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 3.8% 3,977.01 shares
- Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?Yes 99.9% 282.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Yes 99.9% 131.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?Yes 99.9% 413.68 shares
- Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Yes 48.5% 409.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Yes 76% 131.58 shares