Polymarket Trader

0xa2a8ff2ac4f5045af0cdab6f8a37bc0072b13fa5

@Patient_Zero0o

0x97947cc8578293603af40ca0948293aba15301c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.37K
Realized PnL: $7.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $67.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $141.61

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $25.19
Potential payout: $107.21
Potential profit: $82.01
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $45.83
Potential profit: $34.15
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $15.29
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $14.1
User PnL: -$11

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$10.93

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $13.22
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.18

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Yes position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24

Yes position

Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $10

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.60 at noon on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Less position

World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?

Ends Dec 14, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 99.7% 12 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 58.5% 5,000 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 55.5% 12 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 13% 3,846.15 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 3.6% 694.44 shares
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 27.9% 107.21 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 78% 14.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 1,250 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 99% 1,200 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 24% 45.83 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 33% 12.38 shares