Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on August 12 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
LicencedDegen
0x9795a02d7618a105ba0a680b8affdc5467631328
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.43
- Realized PnL
- $2.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $54.91
- Potential payout
- $67.38
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $28.51
- Potential payout
- $47.13
- Potential profit
- $18.62
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.5
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.89
Yes position
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.05
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.86
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.95
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.76
Yes position
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.07
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.85
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.82
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.67
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.06
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.31
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.68
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.37
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.53
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Yes position
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.99
Yes position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.32
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.77
Yes position
Will Fear & Greed Index report "Extreme Fear" on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 61% 47.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 65% 67.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 88.2% 3.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on August 12 at 5PM ET?Yes 76% 78.95 shares
- Will Metaplanet hold 20k+ BTC by August 31?Yes 48% 3.23 shares
- Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes 99% 62.17 shares
- Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes 42.2% 62.17 shares
- Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No 58% 43.74 shares
- South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No 2% 43.24 shares
- Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No 79.4% 43.74 shares
- South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No 3.7% 43.24 shares
- Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes 60% 36.33 shares