Polymarket Trader

Alf

0x9797002d41bb2276b29030fc406cb9451d994e3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $144.59
Realized PnL: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $42.68
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$57.31

No position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$474.19

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.13
Potential profit: $436.13
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.57
Potential profit: $226.57
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $101.9
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.48

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.67

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.98

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.31

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.03

No position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.81

No position

Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.49

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.9

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.76

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.74

Yes position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.58

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.18

Yes position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.45

No position

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.2

No position

Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.74

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Texans

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.05

Yes position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.63

No position

Will Southampton win on 2024-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63

Republicans position

Senate control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Megaquake in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.24

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Israel military action against Yemen before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

No 0.1% 50,000 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Up 95% 1,052.63 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 91% 109.89 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 22.9% 436.13 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?

Yes 44.1% 226.57 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 83% 185.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 95% 2,074.74 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

No 83% 1,970.59 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

No 98.4% 1,634.87 shares