Polymarket Trader

Nereidae

0x979791facb10e44fcb5001fd7c143b5bd8d68e9f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.59
Realized PnL: $110.99
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.15
Potential profit: $112.15
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$48.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $15.59
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Magic position

Kings vs. Magic

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96.2% 15.59 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Yes 92% 16.66 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Yes 90% 16.67 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 92.6% 48.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 112.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 4% 40.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 6% 59.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 28% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 61% 80 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 83.3% 48.02 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 49.2% 50.8 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 49% 51.02 shares