Polymarket Trader

Quandal

0x9797d6c41551f8fb64f3829f6d1b861f1c13c193

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.77K
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$194

No position

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $992.78
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $622.49
Potential payout: $995.99
Potential profit: $373.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $22.49

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $256.5
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $693.5
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$47.5

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.27
Potential profit: $762.27
User PnL: -$396.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $108.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $391.75
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $53.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $51.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $448.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $61.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $438.75
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $459.75
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $478.3
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $92.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $407.74
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $43.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $355.65
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $128.23
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $55.65

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $311.05
Potential profit: $291.77
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $5.51

Leviatán Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249
Potential profit: $249
User PnL: -$224.1

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 12.5% and 15%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.88
Potential profit: $105.88
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 15% and 17.5%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $48.47
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $53.57
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $99.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.3
Potential profit: $83.3
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $76.18
Potential profit: $75.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

HMBLE position

LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.92
Potential profit: $64.92
User PnL: -$7.79

Over 2.5 position

Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

Karmine Corp position

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.77

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.54

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

No position

Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.5

Leviatán Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs One Coin - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.03

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.25

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.41

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.75

Gen.G position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.69

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.09

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.71

Aryna Sabalenka position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 56.2% 533.71 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

Yes 86.4% 447.79 shares
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?

No 34% 20 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 36.5% 186.2 shares
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner

Power Rangers 63% 5.12 shares
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?

No 92% 25.24 shares
Will Ilya Morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 1% 59.99 shares
Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 73% 60 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 89.7% 200 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 74% 20 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

No 83% 200 shares